Henry Harteveldt, a travel analyst with Atmosphere Research Group in
San Francisco, says this change needs to happen, and that passengers
should be allowed to check a bag for free.
"People would appreciate this. They would feel less nickel-and-dimed.
And people who want the convenience and control would pay to bring
their bags on the plane," said Harteveldt, who noted airlines would
likely generate the same or more in baggage revenue.
"airlines would likely generate the same or more in baggage revenue."
Complete bull! How did this slow thinker ever get to be an analyst?
According to one source, 55% of travelers check at least one bag. So the airlines are making money off most of those people¹. The almost 45% of travelers who carry on now are, in most cases, motivated to avoid the checked bag fee, even if it is less convenient, so if you put a fee on carry-on and made checked baggage free, not only would you lose the revenue from most of the 55% of travelers who check, but there would be a mass migration from carrying on back to checking. There would probably be fewer people carrying on than before airlines invented checking fees. You'd go back to pre-checked-bag-fee-times, when airlines were losing money.
You might see airlines adding fees for carrying on, but they will never drop the checked bag fees. Spirit now charges for both checked and carry-on bags. However, Spirit has a generous personal item allowance (2016 cu in, same as American). In 2021, my current carry-on, even with my 300 cu in personal item inside it, fit in the American PI sizer.
- I say most, because not all travelers pay to check bags. Some of those who check bags have free checking due to FF status or having credit cards from the airline.