To get a picture of where this might be headed, take a look at these charts:
Www.worldometers.info
Click on Coronavirus, then scroll down and there are several country names you can click on too, including Italy, France, Spain, USA and others. Look at the charts, then ask yourself where you think this is headed.
Posted by
Savannah, GA
1400 posts
What are you driving at, Larry?
Posted by
Corvallis OR
7170 posts
Well, I don't think the 'number of cases' is accurate, because they are only determined by the numbers tested. So, if they aren't accurate, then the other numbers are a bit ambiguous also. I'm not sure how helpful charts like that are at this stage.
Posted by
Davis CA
759 posts
Charts are extremely helpful. They are data points. Even when testing is lagging it does open the doors to trends- especially when areas that are testing well; as this provides a look into the development of a disease and its progression.
Posted by
Olympia, WA, USA
225 posts
Assuming this thing acts like the flu--as it seems to be acting--the warmer weather coming to the northern hemisphere is going to cause this thing to go away, at least for a while. Perhaps by mid May. And that will presumably buy our/Europe's half of the world enough time to develop an effective vaccine should it come back next winter.
Posted by
52 posts
Great charts because you can see recovered, serious, etc.
Posted by
Magyarország / Rep of Texas
20497 posts
Matt, I'm with you. I'm more worried how many people will die due to economic panic. I think it's the larger of the two threats.
Posted by
Olympia, WA, USA
225 posts
James E, I agree.
Looking at the referenced website, it looks like this thing has already peaked in China (but that does require one to assume the accuracy of the statistics they are reporting, which might be a bit of an assumption).
Posted by
San Diego, CA
23 posts
The 2003 SARS (coronavirus family) timeline indicates the SARS dissipated starting in May and into June and July of 2003. I am confident this is the case today.
I am on the June 14 Eastern Europe tour and I am not planning on cancelling unless it is cancelled by default.
Posted by
CA
2156 posts
Enter
It’s summer in Australia and it’s there too. So, I hope you are correct for the northern hemisphere.
Posted by
Westford, MA, USA
567 posts
Because there is no vaccine for CoVid-19 and there is for the common flu, I can’t use flu statistics of previous years to play down what’s happening today with the pandemic. We all see it’s spreading and travel is spreading it. Of course this is extremely disappoint and disheartening as we all wish to just go!
My state of MA just declared its state of emergency, eliminating non essential travel. WHO declared it a pandemic. Sometimes it’s out of our control and we need to be flexible and wise about health just as we need to be flexible and smart about travel.
Posted by
Kamarooka
429 posts
Diane yes we have quite a few people testing positive here in summertime Australia. Most new cases via the USA.
Will the weather affect the spread? Wait and see I guess.
Tom Hanks and his wife are in lockdown in Qld. after testing positive.
Posted by
S.F. Bay Area, CA, United States
1878 posts
This is good information.
I am more grateful for the life I had before this virus thing.
Still hoping warmer weather tames it, like the flu. Australia notwithstaning.