No I don’t think people will wait years to travel, I’m not stupid. Even fast tracking a vaccine isn’t likely to be ready to fully roll out this year. Each country will have their own standards of testing and speed of introduction. We all want a vaccine yesterday, but it needs to be done in a safe manner.
In the U.K., we already have the major DIY chains where the physical shops are closed offering a click and collect service - you order and pay online then turn up at the designated time, show your ID through your car window then they put the purchases in your car boot. This is for what is designated as essential items only, so includes heating components and lighting but it excludes gardening and decorating products. I have just looked - there is a queue of an hour according to their website just to get on to order anything, as they are being overwhelmed. My local butcher is offering the same service (but without the queue for the website)!
There has just been a report from Rome on the lunchtime BBC news bulletin, talking to the Deputy Health Minister in Italy. She says restaurants, cafes, museums and theatres will be the last things to reopen as and when the country starts to reopen and she envisages that this is months and months away. The same report also featured a restaurant owner who is about to close down her once successful business as she cannot afford the ongoing costs with no income. Places are going to be very different over the next couple of years.
I recently took very early retirement so that I could travel, but my plans will have to wait a while. My last holiday was to the gorgeous Sri Lanka, but being an island with more limited healthcare, they have clamped down hard on their lockdown early on in the process and although they will be desperate for the income from tourism, they won’t want to risk people visiting that could bring the virus into the country.
People from high risk countries such as Italy, Spain, America, France and the U.K. aren’t likely to be as welcome initially as they were a few months ago, as lower risk countries will be nervous about visitors.