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Will US-UK Airfare drop in Oct-Nov?

Impossible question:

What's the general expectation about airfares from the east coast to the UK this autumn? Are we gonna see prices drop in October and November? When?

Posted by
6898 posts

I'm betting that its hard to say. First, fuel prices have been rising over the past four months. Second, the passenger volume has been dropping. Airlines have been reducing flights and flying fewer flights quite full. How the two mix for future fares is hard to predict. Also, the dollar is weakening again. We were delighted to see the British Pound at $1.39 a few weeks back. Now its in the low $1.50s. We've seen the expenses for our upcoming trip to England rise almost $400 just on the currency exhange.

Posted by
19 posts

the problem with flying into london's heathrow airport or gatwick is having to pay the excessive
airport tax fees. they can run $100 each way plus
yr fare on top of that. believe me i've done it many times. if u can find an airline thats flys
into London Stanstead, airport taxes will be alot less.

Posted by
8 posts

I am going to assume you have your eye on the American non-stop from RDU to Gatwick, which is still up around the $1k area. Fares in October on connecting flights are already in the $550 area. While I am not well schooled in fares on that route that does not strike me as over the top. That said airlines generally have "sales" for travel after Labor Day. While there are no absolutes travel demand drops between Labor Day and Thanksgiving except for the Columbus Day weekend time period. If you are flexible going after Columbus Day into early November most likely will end up being cheaper than early October. If I was keeping an eye on fares for someone I would start checking the major travel websites 2-3 times a week starting around July 4th. If I saw anything in that $550 w/tax (Uk tickets have big tax) area on the non-stop I'd book it.

Posted by
2980 posts

Hi J.C.
You can set up airfare e-mail alerts for October travel to London using www.Kayak.com. You have the option of receiving a daily e-mail alert so you can watch the trends and grab a great fare if you see one.

Posted by
970 posts

AA's RDU-LHR is seldom discounted below the $800-range. I found on ITA, and then booked on Orbitz, an RDU-IAD-LHR round trip in mid-October for $646 inclusive. Since the cost of the RDU-IAD flights is typically $150-$200, that doesn't seem bad.

Posted by
970 posts

Well, the IAD-LHR leg is a morning flight, so I'll pay for a hotel stay at Dulles the night before. (This trip is for pleasure, and I don't count catching a 6 am flight to Dulles as a pleasure.) Adds to the cost, but I won't take a night flight across the Atlantic. In the end, the costs balance. To get an equal number of coherent days in London after a night flight, I'd need to extend by one day to make up for the wasted arrival day. I'd just stagger around like a zombie and then crash at the hotel as soon as I could check in. Done that too often not to know better.

This way, immigration at LHR won't be congested, I'll get to my hotel around 11pm London time, sleep, and wake up alert and jetlag-free in the morning.

Posted by
780 posts

I just purchased my ticket for my trip to London on November 18th. A round trip, non-stop ticket directly through British Airways, from Denver to Heathrow cost me $681. I dont think it will get lower as it has already risen to $754 since I purchased it. Looking at airfares, it seems that fares go up on Nov 19th through the 25th (thanksgiving holiday)so try to fly before and after those dates. If I had picked the 19th instead of the 18th, it would have cost me nearly $100 more.

Posted by
3418 posts

JC- check out flying out of Charlotte- while we are an expensive hub for in US flights, the direct flight to London is sometimes a bargin. You do fly into Gatwick- but I prefer it to Heathrow.

Posted by
3551 posts

I would bet yes. but follow kayak.com and make your decision. I go thru this type of decision every yr for West Coast to Europe.