I'm curious if those who are starting to book flights and hotels are concerned about prices going up or availability going down if you wait.
Prices, no. Availability, yes.
We can enjoy the dreams and anticipation by putting together potential
itineraries, reading travel guides, and posting ideas and questions
here on this forum....I personally don't see why there's any
urgency to move forward beyond making vague plans, even if bookings
are refundable or flexible.
I've booked our first post-pandemic trip for September 2021. Flights + hotels all 100% refundable for any reason, cancel-able through August. We will make our go/no-go decision then, based on conditions. For us, "availability" is the key...because we fly using frequent flyer miles. That makes it virtually impossible to get the flights we want (in business class) on relatively short notice. But with our travel dates now locked-in, I can proceed to do all the detailed trip-booking that's necessary. If we have to pull the plug on the trip, we can and will do so. In that case, the trip planning is preserved, the trip just goes back on the shelf for future use, we can re-activate it another time.
Here's my thinking: at some point, it will again be responsible and possible to travel again. We don't yet know for sure when that date will be...and it won't be the same for everyplace: I'm confident Europe will be an open, responsible and safe choice before many other places, either due to extremely strict policies (eg New Zealand) or less resilient health care systems (parts of the developing world). Given what we know (vaccines are going into arms today in Europe, where I plan to go first, and in the USA, where I'm from), and what we can guess (most people in those places who want the vaccines will have them by Q3 2021) I'm making a bet that by September, our trip will be do-able. But my guess could be wrong. So...everything I'm booking is refundable. And...I'm planning for the "next launch window" roughly every quarter. So, if I don't go to Portugal in September, that's OK, my next launch window is in January 2022 (a different trip I'm currently planning...maybe Malta). If the January trip doesn't work out, OK, the next launch window is April/May (a different trip, too, location TBD). Or July. With trips planned every quarter, sooner or later one of them will work out. The others go on the shelf, with virtually all the planning done, and to actually go, all I need to do is adjust the dates and book things.
Rick has no tours scheduled before late August that I can see, and he
is not accepting any bookings for any tours yet. It seems to me that's
an excellent metric to follow. He and his company have been very smart
and responsible about dealing with this pandemic. I wouldn't book
anything before he has started accepting reservations on his tours.
While I do agree that this is the smart and ethical policy for a business that runs bus tours, I don't think the exact same constraints will apply for an independent traveler. Bus tours will come some time after independent travel opens up.
Here in Mexico people in my age group are told we can start getting
vaccinated in February, so I'm hopeful that I will be able to take
some trips around this country over the spring and summer, and get
back to the US to visit friends and family. But I will not book
anything until after I've been vaccinated. There's a local tour
company that has trips all over Mexico, and I'm going to pick up some
of their brochures and start my dreaming now. But I will book later.
I am glad to hear that vaccination plans are coming along in Mexico (one of my favorite countries, I'm looking forward to going back). Please keep us posted on how things are going with vaccinations there!