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Buying appropriate train tickets Milan-Florence

We arrive at 9:05 am in Milan on Monday, March 2. Our plan is to take the Milan Express to Centrale, and then a high-speed to Florence. I used to buy our tickets ahead of time, giving us PLENTY of time to get through immigration etc, but found we wasted a lot of time at the train station waiting for our train (after discovering the tickets we bought couldn't be changed). So the last few times, we've just bought our tickets at the moment we needed. But this time, the Paralympics will be happening in Milan, so now I'm concerned about trains selling out. So...

  1. Am I overly concerned about possible sellouts? While Milan is the 'big' city, it seems like attendees are pretty spread out across northern Italy.

  2. If you recommend buying tickets ahead of time, how can I make sure I get ones that can be changed? It looks like Flex or Economy are both possibly changed? But I should probably reserve a seat, right?

Thank you for any advice. My brain tends to be very sluggish after the overnight flight!

Posted by
23075 posts

Just looking at tomorrow at 10:10 am, the Frecciarosa still has plenty of seats, with quite a few sitting together. Right now the Olympics is going on, a much bigger event than the Paralympics. So I doubt it will be an issue.
Same for the 11:10 am Freccia.

Posted by
787 posts

You shouldn't have a problem buying them that day or changing. I was there last weekend and a few of the Express trains were cancelled (said because of the Olympics so I had to wait 30 minutes). Coming back from visiting friends I changed my train the night before (AV train) without a problem. I don't think they will sell out.