Russ thanks very helpful, solves the question :)
Tim:
Will you have a reserved seat? I just think it's less awkward to take
possession of what belongs to you at the moment it's ... yours. If
someone is sitting in your seat because you did not board, you'll have
to ask them to move. And there's a risk that your bike spot will be
taken because you weren't there. I'm not saying you're not "entitled"
to the space, I'm talking about real life on a jammed high-season
train.
I agree that my preference for relatively certainty is personal, but
have you traveled enough to have had some negative experiences in this
type of situation?
Tim I've spend more than two years total traveling in Europe, probably 2.5 years at this point. As such have definitely experienced much of the likely negatives. But will say I've been quite lucky in train interactions! I will have a reserved seat, but if it's full and no longer entitled to me. Happy enough to stand by my bike. Neither leg of my journey is long, so no big deal.
If I ride past my origin station and it turns out another bike has taken my slot that's a different matter! A few times I've crunched in with an extra bike, and SO many times had an extra "pirate" bike (or two, or three) get on after I've boarded with a reserved bike. Generally then we cooperate - there's often sort of a "we're all in this together" feeling among cyclist on trains.
At any rate, the second train in my journey is the ICE with truly limited bike space - that one I should board at origin no problem.
Thanks gents, quite helpful both.