I go by what George Kennan wrote to Truman on his views of the Soviets and Stalin, this is Kennan's "Long Telegram" in 1945, in which he stated that the Russians don't want war with the West, ie the US. Kennan says, they tried that once, ie the war option , in Finland and "got their fingers burned."
Stalin was conservative in using force, risk-adverse. In 1948, the time of the Berlin blockade, his main ideological problem was with Tito and Yugoslavia...Tito defied him and got away with it.
Keep in mind too it was Stalin who convinced Lenin to use the military option against Poland in 1920 thinking that the Polish proletariat would rise up to join the Soviet liberators...fat chance. 1920 shows nationalism was a stronger force than economics.
Bottom line in 1920, the Soviets lost militarily. Why? Several reasons.
Historians don't know exactly how many Russians perished in Finland trying to crack the Mannerheim Line in that Winter War before Hitler unleashed his offensive on the Anglo-French and the Low Countries, not to mention the Danes and Norway.
I go by the assessment of Stalin given by Kissinger in his "Diplomacy" (1994), plus that of Kennan too. General L Clay wanted to shoot his way into Berlin. How does he explain it in his memoirs?